Group J · Matchday 3

Uzbekistan v Italy

Levi's Stadium · San Francisco Bay · USA

GROUP J · MD3SOON

Uzbekistan

Jun 25

12:00 AM

Italy

Levi's Stadium · San Francisco BayUSA

Kickoff: Thu, Jun 25, 12:00 AM UTC

Predict & play

Turn this match into pot-eligible action across HOP's seven World Cup games.

AI MATCH ANALYSIS

Pondside model · v1

HIGH CONF

UzbekistanDRAWItaly

19%11%70%

Uzbekistan

1–2

Italy

Model favours Italy at 70% with an expected 1-2 scoreline. Draw chance: 11%. Top swing factor: rating edge — away — composite strength gap of 22 pts on the model.

Swing factors

1
Rating edge — away
Composite strength gap of 22 pts on the model.
AWAY · w8
2
Defensive solidity
0.6 goals conceded per match in qualifying — best in UEFA.
AWAY · w5

Goal threats

F. Chiesa
Italy
38%
M. Retegui
Italy
22%

Demo predictor — heuristic on team-strength + host advantage + factor weights. For live tournaments, swap in a Claude-backed predictor with the same shape.