Group D · Matchday 2

United States v Uruguay

SoFi Stadium · Los Angeles · USA

GROUP D · MD2SOON

United States

Jun 17

06:00 PM

Uruguay

SoFi Stadium · Los AngelesUSA

Kickoff: Wed, Jun 17, 06:00 PM UTC

Predict & play

Turn this match into pot-eligible action across HOP's seven World Cup games.

AI MATCH ANALYSIS

Pondside model · v1

MED CONF

United StatesDRAWUruguay

45%21%34%

United States

2–2

Uruguay

Model favours United States at 45% with an expected 2-2 scoreline. Draw chance: 21%. Top swing factor: home-crowd boost — three host venues. crowd noise translates to 0.5 xg.

Swing factors

1
Home-crowd boost
Three host venues. Crowd noise translates to 0.5 xG.
HOME · w6
2
Host crowd advantage
Sold-out fan zones and matchday energy boost first-half intensity.
HOME · w5
3
Tight matchup
Strength rating within 5 pts — coin-flip territory.
EVEN · w3

Goal threats

C. Pulisic
United States
38%
F. Balogun
United States
22%
F. Valverde
Uruguay
38%
D. Núñez
Uruguay
22%

Demo predictor — heuristic on team-strength + host advantage + factor weights. For live tournaments, swap in a Claude-backed predictor with the same shape.