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United States v Australia — World Cup 2026 · HOP

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Group D · Matchday 2

United States v Australia

SoFi Stadium · Los Angeles · USA

Kickoff:

🇺🇸 United States squad →🇦🇺 Australia squad →

Predict & play

Pick the top two from Group D in the live Group Predictor (locks at first kickoff).

AI MATCH ANALYSIS

Villageside model · v1

HIGH CONF

United StatesDRAWAustralia

63%11%26%

🇺🇸

United States

2–2

🇦🇺

Australia

Model favours United States at 63% with an expected 2-2 scoreline. Draw chance: 11%. Top swing factor: rating edge — home — composite strength gap of 15 pts on the model.

Swing factors

1
Rating edge — home
Composite strength gap of 15 pts on the model.
HOME · w8

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Play

Home-crowd boost

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HOME · w6

Host crowd advantage

Sold-out fan zones and matchday energy boost first-half intensity.

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Goal threats

C. Pulisic
United States
38%
F. Balogun
United States
22%

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How this prediction works

Probabilities blend FIFA-style team strength ratings, home / host advantage, and a small set of swing factors (form, fatigue, head-to-head proximity). Weights labeled w1–w3 show relative impact (1 = edge, 3 = big swing). Snapshot taken at kickoff — does not update from live scores. Not a betting tip.

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