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Iraq v Senegal — World Cup 2026 · HOP

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Group I · Matchday 2

Iraq v Senegal

MetLife Stadium · New York / New Jersey · USA

Kickoff:

🇮🇶 Iraq squad →🇸🇳 Senegal squad →

Predict & play

Pick the top two from Group I in the live Group Predictor (locks at first kickoff).

AI MATCH ANALYSIS

Villageside model · v1

HIGH CONF

IraqDRAWSenegal

27%11%62%

🇮🇶

Iraq

1–2

🇸🇳

Senegal

Model favours Senegal at 62% with an expected 1-2 scoreline. Draw chance: 11%. Top swing factor: rating edge — away — composite strength gap of 14 pts on the model.

Swing factors

1
Rating edge — away
Composite strength gap of 14 pts on the model.
AWAY · w8

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Every Pepe deserves a table.
Every game deserves a pot.

Play

Sadio Mané captaincy

Veteran leadership; squad runs through him.

AWAY · w4

Goal threats

S. Mané
Senegal
38%
I. Sarr
Senegal
22%

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How this prediction works

Probabilities blend FIFA-style team strength ratings, home / host advantage, and a small set of swing factors (form, fatigue, head-to-head proximity). Weights labeled w1–w3 show relative impact (1 = edge, 3 = big swing). Snapshot taken at kickoff — does not update from live scores. Not a betting tip.

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