Group H · Matchday 1

Netherlands v Colombia

Levi's Stadium · San Francisco Bay · USA

GROUP H · MD1SOON

Netherlands

Jun 16

12:00 AM

Colombia

Levi's Stadium · San Francisco BayUSA

Kickoff: Tue, Jun 16, 12:00 AM UTC

Predict & play

Turn this match into pot-eligible action across HOP's seven World Cup games.

AI MATCH ANALYSIS

Pondside model · v1

MED CONF

NetherlandsDRAWColombia

49%19%32%

Netherlands

2–2

Colombia

Model favours Netherlands at 49% with an expected 2-2 scoreline. Draw chance: 19%. Top swing factor: rating edge — home — composite strength gap of 7 pts on the model.

Swing factors

1
Rating edge — home
Composite strength gap of 7 pts on the model.
HOME · w7
2
De Jong return
First major tournament fully fit since 2021.
HOME · w5

Goal threats

C. Gakpo
Netherlands
38%
M. Depay
Netherlands
22%
L. Díaz
Colombia
38%
J. Cuadrado
Colombia
22%

Demo predictor — heuristic on team-strength + host advantage + factor weights. For live tournaments, swap in a Claude-backed predictor with the same shape.