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Spain v Uruguay — World Cup 2026 · HOP

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Group H · Matchday 1

Spain v Uruguay

Levi's Stadium · San Francisco Bay · USA

Kickoff:

🇪🇸 Spain squad →🇺🇾 Uruguay squad →

Match log

GOAL Spain · Lautaro 55'
GOAL Spain · Bellingham 49'
GOAL Uruguay · Vinicius 12'
GOAL Uruguay · Rashford 50'

Predict & play

Pick the top two from Group H in the live Group Predictor (locks at first kickoff).

AI MATCH ANALYSIS

Villageside model · v1

MED CONF

SpainDRAWUruguay

51%17%32%

🇪🇸

Spain

2–2

🇺🇾

Uruguay

Model favours Spain at 51% with an expected 2-2 scoreline. Draw chance: 17%. Top swing factor: rating edge — home — composite strength gap of 8 pts on the model.

Swing factors

1
Rating edge — home
Composite strength gap of 8 pts on the model.
HOME · w8

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Goal threats

L. Yamal
Spain
38%
Á. Morata
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22%
F. Valverde
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38%
D. Núñez
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22%

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📍 Pre-match snapshot. The model below reflects the forecast at kickoff — it does not update from the current final result. Live xG / in-running probabilities are on the roadmap.

How this prediction works

Probabilities blend FIFA-style team strength ratings, home / host advantage, and a small set of swing factors (form, fatigue, head-to-head proximity). Weights labeled w1–w3 show relative impact (1 = edge, 3 = big swing). Snapshot taken at kickoff — does not update from live scores. Not a betting tip.

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