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Belgium v Egypt — World Cup 2026 · HOP

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Group G · Matchday 1

Belgium v Egypt

SoFi Stadium · Los Angeles · USA

Kickoff:

🇧🇪 Belgium squad →🇪🇬 Egypt squad →

Match log

GOAL Belgium · Foden 14'
GOAL Belgium · Vinicius 80'

Predict & play

Pick the top two from Group G in the live Group Predictor (locks at first kickoff).

AI MATCH ANALYSIS

Villageside model · v1

MED CONF

BelgiumDRAWEgypt

57%14%29%

🇧🇪

Belgium

2–2

🇪🇬

Egypt

Model favours Belgium at 57% with an expected 2-2 scoreline. Draw chance: 14%. Top swing factor: rating edge — home — composite strength gap of 11 pts on the model.

Swing factors

1
Rating edge — home
Composite strength gap of 11 pts on the model.
HOME · w8

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Goal threats

K. De Bruyne
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38%
R. Lukaku
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22%

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📍 Pre-match snapshot. The model below reflects the forecast at kickoff — it does not update from the current final result. Live xG / in-running probabilities are on the roadmap.

How this prediction works

Probabilities blend FIFA-style team strength ratings, home / host advantage, and a small set of swing factors (form, fatigue, head-to-head proximity). Weights labeled w1–w3 show relative impact (1 = edge, 3 = big swing). Snapshot taken at kickoff — does not update from live scores. Not a betting tip.

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