Group E · Matchday 1

Morocco v Paraguay

Hard Rock Stadium · Miami · USA

GROUP E · MD1SOON

Morocco

Jun 14

12:00 AM

Paraguay

Hard Rock Stadium · MiamiUSA

Kickoff: Sun, Jun 14, 12:00 AM UTC

Predict & play

Turn this match into pot-eligible action across HOP's seven World Cup games.

AI MATCH ANALYSIS

Pondside model · v1

MED CONF

MoroccoDRAWParaguay

57%14%29%

Morocco

2–1

Paraguay

Model favours Morocco at 57% with an expected 2-1 scoreline. Draw chance: 14%. Top swing factor: rating edge — home — composite strength gap of 11 pts on the model.

Swing factors

1
Rating edge — home
Composite strength gap of 11 pts on the model.
HOME · w8
2
2022 SF residue
Same defensive spine. Hakimi at 27 is in his prime.
HOME · w6

Goal threats

A. Hakimi
Morocco
38%
Y. En-Nesyri
Morocco
22%

Demo predictor — heuristic on team-strength + host advantage + factor weights. For live tournaments, swap in a Claude-backed predictor with the same shape.