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Germany v Ecuador — World Cup 2026 · HOP

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Group E · Matchday 1

Germany v Ecuador

Lincoln Financial Field · Philadelphia · USA

Kickoff:

🇩🇪 Germany squad →🇪🇨 Ecuador squad →

Match log

YELLOW · Germany 76'

Predict & play

Pick the top two from Group E in the live Group Predictor (locks at first kickoff).

AI MATCH ANALYSIS

Villageside model · v1

HIGH CONF

GermanyDRAWEcuador

64%11%25%

🇩🇪

Germany

2–2

🇪🇨

Ecuador

Model favours Germany at 64% with an expected 2-2 scoreline. Draw chance: 11%. Top swing factor: rating edge — home — composite strength gap of 16 pts on the model.

Swing factors

1
Rating edge — home
Composite strength gap of 16 pts on the model.
HOME · w8

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Goal threats

F. Wirtz
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38%
L. Sané
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22%

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📍 Pre-match snapshot. The model below reflects the forecast at kickoff — it does not update from the current final result. Live xG / in-running probabilities are on the roadmap.

How this prediction works

Probabilities blend FIFA-style team strength ratings, home / host advantage, and a small set of swing factors (form, fatigue, head-to-head proximity). Weights labeled w1–w3 show relative impact (1 = edge, 3 = big swing). Snapshot taken at kickoff — does not update from live scores. Not a betting tip.

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