Group D · Matchday 3

Egypt v United States

NRG Stadium · Houston · USA

GROUP D · MD3SOON

Egypt

Jun 22

12:00 AM

United States

NRG Stadium · HoustonUSA

Kickoff: Mon, Jun 22, 12:00 AM UTC

Predict & play

Turn this match into pot-eligible action across HOP's seven World Cup games.

AI MATCH ANALYSIS

Pondside model · v1

MED CONF

EgyptDRAWUnited States

32%17%51%

Egypt

2–2

United States

Model favours United States at 51% with an expected 2-2 scoreline. Draw chance: 17%. Top swing factor: rating edge — away — composite strength gap of 8 pts on the model.

Swing factors

1
Rating edge — away
Composite strength gap of 8 pts on the model.
AWAY · w8
2
Home-crowd boost
Three host venues. Crowd noise translates to 0.5 xG.
AWAY · w6

Goal threats

C. Pulisic
United States
38%
F. Balogun
United States
22%

Demo predictor — heuristic on team-strength + host advantage + factor weights. For live tournaments, swap in a Claude-backed predictor with the same shape.